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Quadibloc (Visitor)
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behavior psychology How science is not done  
How quickly people forget - People got very excited about the Gaussian copula because of its mathematical elegance, but the thing never worked. Co-association between securities is not measurable using correlation ; in other words because past history is not predictive of the future. Anything that relies on correlation is charlatanism. The thing about Newton's use of the predictive Ra/Dec system in attempting to _link_ terrestrial ballistics directly to planetary motion is that  the thing never worked,the 'predictive' power of the Ra/Dec system is useless for anything involving planetary dynamics which is why climate models bypass dynamics and focus on solar or carbon dioxide inputs alone. Yet you propose to replace Newtonian mechanics, which gives a demonstrable physical mechanism for each part of it, with structural astronomy , which relies on intuitive appreciation of analogies, and thus consists of nothing but correlation. In attempting to make your point, you instead contradict it. John Savard
 
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behavior psychology How science is not done
Quadibloc 2009/09/08 19:42
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